The US and Canada have all but finalized a trade deal, removing the last trade-related risk that could have pulled the Bank of Canada (BOC) off hold before year-end, though
US tariffs on Canadian goods take effect just after midnight tonight absent an agreement, with a narrow deal on autos, steel, and aluminum the more likely outcome and the one
A labor market running hot with inflation cooling underneath it will keep the Bank of Canada (BOC) on hold through its September 2 meeting, with renewed trade tensions solidifying the
Canadian rates are likely to remain parked at 2.25% at the upcoming Bank of Canada (BOC) meeting and probably for the rest of the year, with the latest round of data showing
The sharp deterioration in Canada’s first-quarter growth reinforces our view that the Bank of Canada (BOC) will keep rates on hold possibly through all of 2026, as concerns over economic
Energy-driven inflation alone is unlikely to trigger rate hikes in Canada as the Bank of Canada (BOC) seeks to keep rates at 2.25% through this year unless second-round effects emerge.
The Bank of Canada (BOC) is more likely to remain on hold this year than to deliver rate hikes, despite market pricing implying almost 50 basis points of tightening over
The Bank of Canada (BOC) validated our out-of-consensus call at its January policy meeting by pivoting decisively toward trade risks, reviving an easing bias even as it held the policy
The Bank of Canada (BOC) enters its January 28 policy meeting having parked its policy rate at 2.25%, near the lower end of its estimated neutral range, with guidance that
The Bank of Canada (BOC) is content to sit tight through the turn of the year, viewing its 2.25% policy rate as on the stimulative side of neutral and “about
A lot has to go right for the Bank of Canada (BOC) to justify holding rates steady through next year. While Wednesday’s rate cut to 2.25% was accompanied by a
The Bank of Canada (BOC) is likely to cut rates again in October, with the outlook still sharply bearish, thanks in large part to the sustained drag from elevated US
Pronounced softness in Canada’s economy prompted the Bank of Canada’s (BOC) 25-basis-point rate cut today, strengthening our confidence in a deeper easing cycle ahead and reflecting a tacit decision by
